Monday, April 28, 2014

Photos of the Presidential Visit with the Emperor







Their Majesties the Emperor and Empress, always the image of kindness, grace and good manners, no matter the situation. Japan should be very proud of them.

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Japan: After Obama

I want to direct these comments specifically to the people of a monarchy near and dear to my heart: 日本 (Japan). President of the United States Barack Obama just visited the “Land of the Rising Sun” and I’m sure everyone is still exhilarated in the afterglow of such a brush with celebrity, especially when, for the first time ever, the President of the United States actually stated specifically that the Senkaku Islands were covered by the treaty which requires the United States to fight in defense of Japan if Japanese territory is ever attacked by a foreign power. First of all, I do not mean to diminish such a statement. I am certainly glad that it was made and can only say it should have been made much sooner but, better late than never as the saying goes. There is nothing I want more than for the United States and Japan to be fast friends and close allies. The assurance from Obama means that if the People’s Kleptomaniac Republic of Chinese Sweatshop Workers tries to seize the Senkaku Islands, the United States will assist Japan in defending and/or recovering that part of Japanese sovereign territory. Well, almost, that is to say, more or less because President Obama also said that the United States does not take a position on the issue of the sovereignty dispute over the islands between Japan and Red China. After all, the last thing you want to do is make your banker angry with you.

Wait a minute, WHAT?! So, everyone is all excited because President Obama, almost in the same breath, said that the Senkakus are included in the U.S.-Japanese defense treaty but that the United States does not take sides in the dispute over who actually holds sovereignty over those islands? Surely this must be some mistake! Surely, our brilliant, Harvard-educated President did not just pledge to go to war on behalf of a few islands without first being sure where he stands on who exactly is the rightful owner of said islands -right? You see, Japan, this is why it doesn’t do to get too excited over President Obama. Again, I am glad he gave an assurance on support in the Senkakus issue, it is certainly better if he had given none at all. However, his assurance rings rather hollow when he cannot even say that the United States, under his administration, is taking the side of its ally Japan over Maoist China in regards to the dispute that is at the heart of the matter. Remember, this is the same man who had Chairman Mao’s face emblazoned on his Christmas tree ornaments. This is the man whose former communications director was Anita Dunn who said that Chairman Mao was one of the two people she admired most. This is the President who named Ron Bloom his “manufacturing czar” who said that, “We kind of agree with Mao that political power comes largely from the barrel of a gun”. Be happy, but do not be too trusting of this President.

Just for a little parallel, remember how excited everyone was when President Obama named Caroline Kennedy the U.S. Ambassador to Japan? Sure, she didn’t have any diplomatic experience, had never lived in Japan and has no understanding of the Japanese language but, it’s CAROLINE KENNEDY! Her dad was President! Remember all the crowds cheering and waving when she arrived, all the excited people singing “Sweet Caroline” as she went to the Imperial Palace to present her credentials? Yes, that was fun, but how did that work out? Ambassador Kennedy said her top priority was to promote more feminism in Japan because there are not enough women serving in the Japanese government (and trust me, she did not mean that she wished Madame Yuko Tojo had been elected) as if that is any of her business and as if her job was not to represent the President of the United States in Japan but to spread American-style feminist “equality” amongst the less “progressive” Japanese! But that was just the beginning. She then went on to be the first U.S. Ambassador to express “disappointment” at Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visiting the Yasukuni Shrine, again, as if it is any of her business or that of her country or any other country where the political leader of Japan goes to pray. Later she stuck her nose in local matters again by calling the traditional dolphin hunt in Taiji as an example of “inhumaneness” and later still she had her embassy staff release an official statement condemning the comments made by the new governors of the NHK. What do all of these have in common? They all were none of her business and had nothing to do with the United States or American-Japanese relations, yet she decided to sit in judgment of the people of Japan on every one of them.

She still gets the celebrity treatment of course and maybe, having no diplomatic experience, she just didn’t understand that these were things she should not have done. Then again, maybe this is all some passive-aggressive way of taking revenge on the Japanese for sinking her father’s PT Boat in World War II -I don’t know. The point is that the Obama administration should not be gushed over in regards to its relationship with Japan. President Obama has something of a track record when it comes to traditional American allies and it is not one to inspire a great deal of confidence. This is the President who told the State of Israel that it should return to its pre-1967 borders, who sided with the pro-Hugo Chavez socialist dictator of Honduras in his seizure of power, who shook hands with Chavez while spurning traditional allies like Colombia and Honduras, who took down the missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic (which they agreed to at considerable risk to themselves) in order to placate Mr. Putin in Russia (didn’t work out so good did it?) signed on the anniversary of the invasion of Poland no less. And, this is the man who handed over the serial numbers for the British Trident missiles to the Russians, selling out the United Kingdom which had been the closest ally the United States has had in recent years.

I bring this up not to cast doubt on Japanese-American friendship, that is the last thing I would want to do. In a survey last year, 81% of Americans had a positive view of Japan and 69% of Japanese people have a favorable view of the United States (which is considerable given that foreign countries as well as elements on both the far-left and right in Japan often try to spread division between Japan and America). The two countries have a good relationship and I want that to continue. I bring this up only because one must take politics into consideration and differentiate between the American people and the American government (something difficult for all peoples around the world to do most of the time) and because I don’t want Japan to get too carried away by any reassurances of support from President Obama. Just because Obama said that the Senkaku Islands are included in the Japan-US security pact does not mean that Japan should not continue to persevere in the campaign to amend Article 9. The American public (if not the government) is leaning more and more heavily these days back in the direction of isolation and the best thing Japan can do for the sake of security is to be grateful and appreciate for any American support but to strengthen itself and build-up the Japanese Self-Defense forces as if no such agreement existed. In the event of any trouble, I hope the United States would be there to help and it probably will be but one should always hope for the best and prepare for the worst and no country should depend exclusively on the protection of another. Governments change, politicians come and go and what one administration does, another can un-do.

Numerous Presidents of the United States promised their staunch support for South Vietnam in the fight against communist aggression in Southeast Asia. The last to do so was Republican President Nixon in 1972. Yet, only the following year, in June 1973, after the Democrats had taken control of Congress, the Case-Church Amendment was passed with sufficient votes to override a veto by the Republican President, and all military assistance to South Vietnam was cut off. The Americans went home and the communists rolled into Saigon not long after. There are other examples that could be cited but the overriding point is that, in any crisis, nothing should be taken for granted. Happily (and honestly, somewhat to my surprise) the Obama administration has been positive about Japan taking a more direct role in its own national security matters. So, I say take that ball and run with it! Amend Article 9, strengthen the country and restore a strong and proud Japan that would be happy to have American assistance but hopefully, would not require it.

Again, it was better than nothing, but the statement could have been much stronger and less ambiguous. Americans, and particularly the men and women of the American military, should be much more upset by this. Look at it from their perspective; their commander-in-chief just said that they might be called upon to fight and die for a cause that he will not even take a solid stand on! When Obama says he takes no side in the sovereignty dispute, one would not be unjustified in asking how on earth he could expect the military to put their lives on the line for the issue. What he is saying is that, Japan might be right but then again China might be right too. That seems a pretty flimsy position to potentially go to war over and I am surprised the reaction to this sort of double-talk has not been stronger. As I have covered before, in my opinion there should be no dispute at all, the islands clearly belong to Japan and the United States government should come out and say that with no equivocation. If troubles do arise, with the treaty in place and generally good relations prevailing between Washington and Tokyo, I trust that the United States would be prepared to assist. My ideal scenario, however, would be for Japan to be strong enough and assertive enough to tell America in such a crisis, “Thanks, but we got this”.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Poll on Constitutional Reform

Recently the (probably biased) NHK Broadcasting Culture Research Institute published the results of a poll taken across Japan to gauge public support for constitutional reform. The results were not very encouraging. While 41% said reform or amendment was necessary, compared to only 24% who said it was not, however, when it came to Article 9, the statistics were almost exactly reversed. Of those questioned, 41% said that amending Article 9 was not necessary compared to only 24% who think it is. Most still cling to the ideal of a pacifist constitution and worry that foreign intervention could get out of hand. This shows a lack of self-esteem on the part of many people and a lack of trust between the civilian and Self-Defense spheres of the country. Some amendment of Article 9 is not only necessary but is becoming increasingly urgent.

The biggest problem is not that Japan is disallowed from participating in international military operations (although these would help the JSDF to gain valuable experience) but is rather the was in which Japan is legally obliged to allow an enemy to strike the first blow before defensive counter-measures can be taken. Under the current laws, Japan can only act in self-defense if an enemy directly attacks Japan. As all students of kendo know, allowing your enemy the freedom to make the first strike, knowing that you can do nothing to stop them until the blade falls, is a terrible mistake. If the first strike is powerful enough, it may be impossible to recover from. Given the strength and hostility of Communist China, this is a risk that Japan cannot afford to take. Hopefully, as according to past agreements, the United States would rush to assist Japan in such a crisis, but that should not be taken for granted. Serious consideration must also be given to the fact that the isolationist position is growing quite strong in the United States lately.

The uncomfortable fact is that Japan has an old and shrinking population but remains quite advanced and prosperous. Communist China, on the other hand, has a huge population but one that is terribly imbalanced. They also have a rapidly growing economy but also one that is highly volatile and subject to manipulation. In other words, China is very big, very dangerous and in both economic and demographic terms (because of the female to male imbalance) is approaching a crisis. When that happens, the small, aging but prosperous State of Japan would be an inviting target. This is something that must be given serious consideration and for a country which has the largest army and air force in the world, a rapidly expanding navy and a nuclear arsenal, it is extremely dangerous to allow them to be able to freely strike the first blow against Japan before any action could be taken. There are many constitutional changes that are needed but amending Article 9 should be considered of paramount importance and the public must be educated as to why this is so.

Sunday, April 13, 2014

HIH Princess Aiko Back to School

Her Imperial Highness Princess Aiko attended her entrance ceremony last Sunday at Gakushuin Girls’ Junior High School in Tokyo, accompanied by Their Imperial Highnesses Crown Prince Naruhito and Crown Princess Masako. The Princess is looking more grown up every day and is already almost as tall as her parents. It seems like only yesterday that she was just a tiny, little toddler. The legacy goes on, as it has for thousands of years, in the next generation of the Imperial dynasty. It is heartwarming to see. Congratulations to Her Imperial Highness on this new phase of her academic career.

Wednesday, April 9, 2014

Crimea First, Mongolia Next?

The recent events in the Ukraine and the Russian annexation of Crimea are being watched closely in the People's Republic of China. Many western commentators have warned that inaction by the international community regarding Russia's seizure of Crimea could be taken by the Chinese as a "green light" to seize the Senkaku Islands or perhaps even make aggressive moves towards Taiwan (less likely). However, the Red Chinese might be looking in a different direction, to an area where the west has shown very little concern or compassion in the past: Mongolia. Weibo, the Chinese communist version of "Twitter" has exploded recently in messages showing the map of China including Outer Mongolia and the on-line Chinese celebrity Cui Chenghao has put out the message that the Soviet Union also, in the past, held a referendum after military forces occupied the country and then made Mongolia the first Soviet satellite state, a part of the USSR in all but name. The western powers took no notice at the time and the only one to show any concern or willingness to do anything about it was the Empire of Japan. The Chinese aggression comes from the false belief, spread through indoctrination by the communist government in Peking, that Mongolia should belong to China.

Bogd Khan
This, of course, is completely absurd. Mongolia never belonged to China in all of history. Manchuria and Mongolia were first united under the Qing Dynasty with the Manchu Emperor becoming the Great Khan of Mongolia after the death of Ligden Khan, the last Emperor of the Yuan Dynasty of Mongolia. After that, the Qing Dynasty later came to reign over the whole of China. However, unsatisfied with throwing off the Qing Dynasty in their own country (and with it, most of traditional Chinese culture and tradition) the Republic of China claimed ownership over all the lands previously ruled by the Manchu Emperor even though none of these places had anything to do with the revolution and overthrow of the last Qing Emperor. The Mongols always held fast to their traditions and customs and that includes, of course, the Mongolian style of monarchy. So, when the last Qing Emperor, who was also Great Khan of the Mongols, was deposed and confined to the Forbidden City, the Mongols granted secular power as monarch to their spiritual leader who is known to history as the Bogd Khan. Chinese republican forces deposed him but were chased out by the White Russian/Mongol army of Baron Ungern von Sternberg who restored the Bogd Khan to power. However, that ended later the same year, in 1921, when the Soviets occupied Mongolia.

Great Khan of the Mongols also
The Chinese never consistently held control over Mongolia at any point in history, before or after the revolution. Mongolia was in a partnership, a personal union, with the Emperor of Manchuria, before China had anything to do with either of them, before all three came together under the Great Qing Empire. But also for that reason, the close ties between Manchuria and Mongolia were never forgotten so that when the Japanese forces corrected a great historical injustice by restoring the last Emperor of Manchuria to his legitimate throne, this was done with the expectation that the new empire would include, in some way, the Mongols as well, whether as united together in one empire or as partners under a shared monarchy with the Empire of Manchukuo. Aisin-Gioro Pu-yi had, by every right, never ceased to be legitimately the Emperor of Manchuria and Great Khan of the Mongols and this was more or less recognized by Japan as well since all Japanese official correspondence on the issue always grouped the two countries together as addressing the Manchu and Mongol peoples. There was no doubt that Mongolia was not being forgotten even though the rest of the world turned a blind eye to first the Chinese and then the Soviets occupation and oppression of independent Mongolia. Today, the People's Republic of China is carrying on this history of aggression against the Mongols who are cut off and surrounded by huge powers that have shown little consideration for their wishes; Russia and China.

Ukraine's situation has taught the Chinese communists a lesson. They see their supposed friendship with Russia for the farce that it is, as everyone seems to realize except the Russians. They see Russia able to annex territory from a neighboring country and get away with it, with the rest of the world doing nothing practically to stop them. They also see western weakness and hypocrisy on display with the way the Europeans and Americans condemned the secession of Crimea from Ukraine while in the past they supported the secession of Kosovo from Serbia. They do not think anyone can stop them from taking Mongolia and, sadly, it is easy to see that they may be correct. In the past, Japan could and did offer great help to the Mongols in defending themselves against Soviet and Chinese aggression but today, thanks to Article 9, Japan is forbidden to offer any real assistance and so there is no one close at hand who could be looked to by the Mongolians as an alternative to domination by Russia or China. All loyal forces should unite in support of the Mongols and in restoring the Mongolian monarchy as well as reuniting the Mongol people into one country where they will be safe and secure in their own way of life.